Download No-Cost Raptor Software Section 1- RAPTOR software is a modeling software program for: (tells you how many failures to expect), (tells you how much uptime to expect), and (tells you about maintenance down time and times between maintenance demands) A RAM model tells you numbers for how your system operates: 1. Yes, I know you’re an expert about things such as pumps, compressors, furnaces, heat exchangers, and vessels! You’ve also got information about their ages to failure and times for repairs.

You can also organize the data into a statistical format for use in a RAM model to forecast how well things will perform in the future. It’s important to make your data speak for future events in building a model for new process and equipment. We need the facts. Other web pages at tell you how to reduce these facts into the few details you need for the RAM model. Yes, I know you have great engineers who fit the system together with expertise about how the blocks are conveniently arranged for a production process.

These same “fathers” or “mothers” of the process often will look you in the eye and deny the deteriorating effects of time and loads that cause entropy changes resulting in failures of “their systems—think of their children”. Our provincial outlook makes it difficult to admit the facts about how the creations we conceived will fail. All systems fail—the key is when, where, and how often. All systems require maintenance. We can’t repeal the natural laws of entropy changes. This means we must account for the failures and the effects of the failures as the model reflects real-life conditions. Yes, I know you have experts in the process and how the system should perform on a steady-state basis.

Unfortunately we design processes and equipment for steady-state conditions. However, we operate the systems in a dynamic mode. The saboteur map bug patch.

The software used to create the availability simulation model is a PC-based program entitled Rapid Availabil- ity Prototyping Tool for Testing Operational Readiness ( RAPTOR ) [3], written by the Headquarters Air Force Operational Test and Evaluation Center (HQ AFOTEC). From the US Government free of charge, can be used to create. Two good reasons to use the handy RAPTOR software for reliability block diagram modeling using Monte Carlo techniques: 1) It’s free, and 2) A novice can use the software after 10 minutes of play-time which makes the software very productive.

What we design and how we operate them often incurs problems which we need to predict. Systems deteriorate and systems fail so use the facts from your records to gain details for your models. What you rarely know, on a factual basis, is how the installed system will really function for number of failures, availability, and maintenance demands. The bottom line of these numbers must be reflected into time and money. Monte Carlo RAM models allow you to compute the cost of unreliability () for a business perspective. They are helpful in searching for cost effective alternatives for life cycle cost considerations. Few engineers can support the ideas in items 1-4 with engineering calculations.

Metodika drakonovi klyuchi art terapiya. Didaktika i metodika - teorijska osnova razvoja cjeloživotnog obrazovanja. [Martin Kramar] -- Danas je predmet didaktike cjelokupno obrazovanje koje se razvilo na svim područjima čovjekova i društvenog života i rada te se razvija u čovjekovu cjeloživotnu aktivnost.

They often resort to opinions--not facts. For business results we need calculated facts before we build so we can convert the facts into $ statements. We must make business decisions from the technical details. We need more operating facts summarized into numbers and less opinions devoid of numbers!